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Glass Cockpit, ages quicker ?
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Pre Schooler
Guest





PostPosted: Wed Dec 21, 2005 5:53 am    Post subject: Glass Cockpit, ages quicker ? Reply with quote



I posted a question about the safety of old airplanes earlier and got
a lot of insightful
responses. Now here is another silly observation.

The glass cockpit seems to have been promoted as the best thing that
has ever
happened to the small airplanes. They look nice, but they are, 1) Less
reliable
than any mechanical devices; 2) Hard to detect or recover from errors;
3) They deteriorite faster, and gets even more unreliable as they age;

Item 1 is the most fatal flaw, not only because software and
electronics inherantly
adds significant complexities to the "reliability design", but also it
made the electrical
power more critical to flight safety.

Can anyone imagine flying an airplane with a 30 year old "glass
cockpit" ?

Maybe the new airplane buyers who want to order the glass cockpits,
should ask
some software engineers who design "highly reliable, highly available"
systems,
whether those software engineers would entrust their own lives with
their own code,
IF there is a mechanical alternative. Maybe the new buyers should
demand
better looking and better made "traditional" cockpits. The computer
software based
tools should be put on the side, or around the most critical flight
instruments. Instead
of the other way around.

If they ran out of things to put into the glass, put the radios,
radars, CAMERAs etc
on it; NOT the airspeed indicator, altimeter, attitude indicator,
heading indicator, turn
indicators.

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Jim Macklin
Guest





PostPosted: Wed Dec 21, 2005 6:16 am    Post subject: Re: Glass Cockpit, ages quicker ? Reply with quote



The fact is that mechanical instruments, pneumatic pumps and
other "old style" gauges are more likely to fail without
warning and do not self-monitor. Are they perfect, nope.
Did the maker pick the best design for the indicator on the
screen, nope. Simulated round dials or tape displays that
go up with bigger number seem to fit the human natural
expectation. But if a piece of electronic hardware is
working after a few hours of "burn-in" it is likely to work
for many years. And as I said, electronics can self-monitor
and report to the pilot that some maintenance is needed and
also report to the shop, what work that is needed, making
repair faster and more accurate.

Electricity is very reliable, it is well understood by
engineers and mechanics. Batteries and generators can be
duplicated for redundancy, electrical systems can have
multiple busses so a failure does not cause a total failure.



--
James H. Macklin
ATP,CFI,A&P

--
Merry Christmas
Have a Safe and Happy New Year
Live Long and Prosper
Jim Macklin
"Pre Schooler" <mistersky (AT) gmail (DOT) com> wrote

Quote:
I posted a question about the safety of old airplanes
earlier and got
a lot of insightful
responses. Now here is another silly observation.

The glass cockpit seems to have been promoted as the best
thing that
has ever
happened to the small airplanes. They look nice, but they
are, 1) Less
reliable
than any mechanical devices; 2) Hard to detect or recover
from errors;
3) They deteriorite faster, and gets even more unreliable
as they age;

Item 1 is the most fatal flaw, not only because software
and
electronics inherantly
adds significant complexities to the "reliability design",
but also it
made the electrical
power more critical to flight safety.

Can anyone imagine flying an airplane with a 30 year old
"glass
cockpit" ?

Maybe the new airplane buyers who want to order the glass
cockpits,
should ask
some software engineers who design "highly reliable,
highly available"
systems,
whether those software engineers would entrust their own
lives with
their own code,
IF there is a mechanical alternative. Maybe the new buyers
should
demand
better looking and better made "traditional" cockpits. The
computer
software based
tools should be put on the side, or around the most
critical flight
instruments. Instead
of the other way around.

If they ran out of things to put into the glass, put the
radios,
radars, CAMERAs etc
on it; NOT the airspeed indicator, altimeter, attitude
indicator,
heading indicator, turn
indicators.




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SR20GOER
Guest





PostPosted: Wed Dec 21, 2005 6:21 am    Post subject: Re: Glass Cockpit, ages quicker ? Reply with quote




"Pre Schooler" <mistersky (AT) gmail (DOT) com> wrote

Quote:
I posted a question about the safety of old airplanes earlier and got
a lot of insightful
responses. Now here is another silly observation.

The glass cockpit seems to have been promoted as the best thing that
has ever
happened to the small airplanes. They look nice, but they are, 1) Less
reliable
than any mechanical devices; 2) Hard to detect or recover from errors;
3) They deteriorite faster, and gets even more unreliable as they age;

Item 1 is the most fatal flaw, not only because software and
electronics inherantly
adds significant complexities to the "reliability design", but also it
made the electrical
power more critical to flight safety.

Can anyone imagine flying an airplane with a 30 year old "glass
cockpit" ?

Maybe the new airplane buyers who want to order the glass cockpits,
should ask
some software engineers who design "highly reliable, highly available"
systems,
whether those software engineers would entrust their own lives with
their own code,
IF there is a mechanical alternative. Maybe the new buyers should
demand
better looking and better made "traditional" cockpits. The computer
software based
tools should be put on the side, or around the most critical flight
instruments. Instead
of the other way around.

If they ran out of things to put into the glass, put the radios,
radars, CAMERAs etc
on it; NOT the airspeed indicator, altimeter, attitude indicator,
heading indicator, turn
indicators.

As a glass cockpit pilot and an analogue one (Cirrus and Airvan), and a

mechanic, and a ham radio operator (this is not a job application) I'll make
several observations.
Computers have passed their early developmental problems.
I have more faith in some computers than their analogue equivalents.
Ditto reliability long term.

The glass cockpit is still backed up with analogue gear.

On the error side, a properly trained pilot can detect errors quicker by the
design of the screen and the ability of the glass cockpit to report error.
The Cirrus shows some predictive alerts if you do something that is likely
fatal, the engine management is far superior to any analogue dials, etc.

The emphasis is on proper training and also cultural change.
I know we are talking about megabucks difference but fighter pilots have
glass cockpits because no human can react at the rate and process capability
needed.
Brian



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Jim Logajan
Guest





PostPosted: Wed Dec 21, 2005 6:32 am    Post subject: Re: Glass Cockpit, ages quicker ? Reply with quote

"Pre Schooler" <mistersky (AT) gmail (DOT) com> wrote:
Quote:
The glass cockpit seems to have been promoted as the best thing that
has ever happened to the small airplanes. They look nice, but they are,
1) Less reliable than any mechanical devices;

If you oil the transistors and replace the moving parts every six months,
solid state equipment can last dozens of days.

Quote:
2) Hard to detect or recover from errors;

Detection is easy - the display blanks to a blue screen. Recovery is just
as easy - depress control-alt-delete keys.

Quote:
3) They deteriorite faster, and gets even more unreliable as they age;

You're confusing the pilot with the equipment.

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giorgi.piero@gmail.com
Guest





PostPosted: Wed Dec 21, 2005 3:09 pm    Post subject: Re: Glass Cockpit, ages quicker ? Reply with quote

Quote:
Electricity is very reliable, it is well understood by
engineers and mechanics. Batteries and generators can be
duplicated for redundancy, electrical systems can have
multiple busses so a failure does not cause a total failure.

that is, if the cockpit is NOT working with MS Windows.

Piero


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websurf1@cox.net
Guest





PostPosted: Wed Dec 21, 2005 4:39 pm    Post subject: Re: Glass Cockpit, ages quicker ? Reply with quote

Please, oh PLEASE tell me that microslop isn't behind the glass
cockpit.

("Blue screen of death" and control-alt-delete are microslop
characteristics.)
I don't want to be in the soup when, in the middle of my instruments, I
see "Updates are available".
On final, I don't want to hear "ring a bling" and see "you have mail"
I don't want a browser intermingled with my altitude.
I don't want to have to be a "microslop certified cockpit engineer".
MSNBC is bad enough. MSFAA??

OK, all this was with a grin. Half a grin, anyway...

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ET
Guest





PostPosted: Wed Dec 21, 2005 4:56 pm    Post subject: Re: Glass Cockpit, ages quicker ? Reply with quote

[email]websurf1 (AT) cox (DOT) net[/email] wrote in
news:1135183162.800669.220350 (AT) g44g2000cwa (DOT) googlegroups.com:

Quote:
Please, oh PLEASE tell me that microslop isn't behind the glass
cockpit.

("Blue screen of death" and control-alt-delete are microslop
characteristics.)
I don't want to be in the soup when, in the middle of my instruments,
I see "Updates are available".
On final, I don't want to hear "ring a bling" and see "you have mail"
I don't want a browser intermingled with my altitude.
I don't want to have to be a "microslop certified cockpit engineer".
MSNBC is bad enough. MSFAA??

OK, all this was with a grin. Half a grin, anyway...


<Heh>....

Actually, even MS windows is very stable if all you ask of it is to run
one application, keep it away from the internet and "automatic updates"
and dont install hundreds of programs on it.....

I would have confidence in, say a laptop, with no other software on it
running windows and a flight monitoring program. If it doesnt crash
(the computer I mean <grin> after 10 hours use or so, it's very reliably
going to keep going, assuming we dont futz with it....

--
-- ET >:-)

"A common mistake people make when trying to design something
completely foolproof is to underestimate the ingenuity of complete
fools."---- Douglas Adams

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Jim Macklin
Guest





PostPosted: Wed Dec 21, 2005 7:52 pm    Post subject: Re: Glass Cockpit, ages quicker ? Reply with quote

They don't use Windows and they are not yet targets for
spammers.



<giorgi.piero (AT) gmail (DOT) com> wrote

Quote:
Electricity is very reliable, it is well understood by
engineers and mechanics. Batteries and generators can be
duplicated for redundancy, electrical systems can have
multiple busses so a failure does not cause a total
failure.

that is, if the cockpit is NOT working with MS Windows.

Piero




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grubertm
Guest





PostPosted: Wed Dec 21, 2005 10:19 pm    Post subject: Re: Glass Cockpit, ages quicker ? Reply with quote

Not to worry, glass cockpits will be Linux-based. On-screen
explanations will be reduced to a bright red "RTFM!". The software will
still crash, but there will be a serial port conveniently located
firewall forward where you can then hook up your diagnostic terminal as
you glide to an emergency landing site.

Happy flying!
- Marco

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Icebound
Guest





PostPosted: Wed Dec 21, 2005 10:31 pm    Post subject: Re: Glass Cockpit, ages quicker ? Reply with quote


"Jim Macklin" <p51mustang[threeX12]@xxxhotmail.calm> wrote

Quote:
The fact is that mechanical instruments, pneumatic pumps and
other "old style" gauges are more likely to fail without
warning and do not self-monitor. ...snip...
But if a piece of electronic hardware is
working after a few hours of "burn-in" it is likely to work
for many years.


"many years" has a different definition for electronic vs. mechanical
systems.

It has been pointed out in this thread that it is unlikely that today's
glass cockpit will still be in the plane 30 years from now. I venture to
say that it will probably not be in the plane 10 or 15 years from now.

I am not sure what the maintenance-requirement details for these things are
going to be, but I am going to speculate that manufacturers (if not the FAA)
will demand that you upgrade components frequently. They are not likely to
maintain 15-year-old chips, displays, or firmware, just so you can exactly
replace a defective component 15 years from now. So I will speculate that
the long-term real-costs will be substantial.

And, as you have pointed out, electronic hardware usually fails in the first
few hours, or very very late in its life. Thus having periodic
"maintenance" or upgrades is not necessarily increasing safety... the
failure rate will actually go up because of the new components. Then also,
whereas an old mechanical component will often give some warning or visible
sign of its impending death.... an old electronic device will usually die
suddenly.

So the questions become... will I be allowed to install one of these and
keep it for 15 or even 30 years without modification, maintenance or
upgrade? Unlikely. So how much is it going to cost me to do the required
upgrades? Does anyone know? Will I have to replace the whole thing every 5
or 8 years, just like my home computer, at 30-grand a crack? Maybe it would
be cheaper to lease and replace every three years, just like a car?

Cheaper, maybe but still not cheap.










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Brien K. Meehan
Guest





PostPosted: Wed Dec 21, 2005 10:59 pm    Post subject: Re: Glass Cockpit, ages quicker ? Reply with quote

I can hardly wait for Linux-based GPS's.

All you have to do is tell it your engine's BHP, your gross weight in
grams, and how many revolutions the propeller will make on the trip,
and it'll tell you what airport you'll be at when you're done.

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websurf1@cox.net
Guest





PostPosted: Thu Dec 22, 2005 2:42 am    Post subject: Re: Glass Cockpit, ages quicker ? Reply with quote

Once I have some extra money (sigh...) I'm looking forward to some
glass cockpit time.
(Heck, I wouldn't mind NO cockpit, as long as it has wings and flies!)

But Icebound brought up some interesting comments about the updates and
such. Some of our current aircraft have instruments maybe a couple
decades old. I'm not sure how long the glass stuff will last because
of the software. Steam gauges didn't need periodic updates--just 8
clams for the map. All that glass is awful expensive.

And the Linux based cockpit would use the metric equivalent of furlongs
per fortnight for a time base.....
I could go to Fry's Electronics and buy a microslop windows based mouse
to replace the yoke...

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Robert Barker
Guest





PostPosted: Thu Dec 22, 2005 3:38 am    Post subject: Re: Glass Cockpit, ages quicker ? Reply with quote

"Icebound" <ice_bound (AT) rogers (DOT) !!!EXTRACT!!!.com> wrote

Quote:

"Jim Macklin" <p51mustang[threeX12]@xxxhotmail.calm> wrote in message
news:Jr6qf.29813$QW2.11667 (AT) dukeread08 (DOT) ..
The fact is that mechanical instruments, pneumatic pumps and
other "old style" gauges are more likely to fail without
warning and do not self-monitor. ...snip...
But if a piece of electronic hardware is
working after a few hours of "burn-in" it is likely to work
for many years.


"many years" has a different definition for electronic vs. mechanical
systems.

It has been pointed out in this thread that it is unlikely that today's
glass cockpit will still be in the plane 30 years from now. I venture to
say that it will probably not be in the plane 10 or 15 years from now.

I am not sure what the maintenance-requirement details for these things
are going to be, but I am going to speculate that manufacturers (if not
the FAA) will demand that you upgrade components frequently. They are not
likely to maintain 15-year-old chips, displays, or firmware, just so you
can exactly replace a defective component 15 years from now. So I will
speculate that the long-term real-costs will be substantial.
snip

I don't see why the FAA would make that demand. The Shuttle is still flying
with electronics from the 80's...



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Bob Noel
Guest





PostPosted: Thu Dec 22, 2005 4:10 am    Post subject: Re: Glass Cockpit, ages quicker ? Reply with quote

In article <docl4m$1jv$1 (AT) domitilla (DOT) aioe.org>,
"Icebound" <ice_bound (AT) rogers (DOT) !!!EXTRACT!!!.com> wrote:

Quote:

It has been pointed out in this thread that it is unlikely that today's
glass cockpit will still be in the plane 30 years from now. I venture to
say that it will probably not be in the plane 10 or 15 years from now.

What's different about the glass cockpit software/hardware and the
software/hardware in other avionics? You don't think aircraft today
have avionics software/hardware that is more than 15 years old?

Quote:

I am not sure what the maintenance-requirement details for these things are
going to be, but I am going to speculate that manufacturers (if not the FAA)
will demand that you upgrade components frequently.

They won't, they can't make that demand. However, if the thing breaks,
you won't be able to replace that old out-of-date processor board, but you
won't be required to change a thing just because something new is out there.


Quote:
They are not likely to
maintain 15-year-old chips, displays, or firmware, just so you can exactly
replace a defective component 15 years from now.

true.

Quote:
So I will speculate that
the long-term real-costs will be substantial.

why?

Quote:
So the questions become... will I be allowed to install one of these and
keep it for 15 or even 30 years without modification, maintenance or
upgrade?

yes. As long as it keeps working.

Quote:
Unlikely. So how much is it going to cost me to do the required
upgrades? Does anyone know?

Again, what "required upgrades"? Unless there is an AD on the
avionics, it will remain airworthy.


Quote:
Will I have to replace the whole thing every 5
or 8 years, just like my home computer, at 30-grand a crack?

no. If it doesn't break, why would you replace it?

Did your home computer break? wasn't it that you "upgraded" in order
to gain capability?



Quote:

Cheaper, maybe but still not cheap.

nothing in aviation is cheap (except owners).

--
Bob Noel
New NHL? what a joke


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giorgi.piero@gmail.com
Guest





PostPosted: Thu Dec 22, 2005 9:49 am    Post subject: Re: Glass Cockpit, ages quicker ? Reply with quote

Quote:
They don't use Windows and they are not yet targets for
spammers

I know... Just kidding.
I don't use windows in my computer, imagine if I would use it in a
cockpit!!!

I can very well imagine a nice "Bluescreen" with the memory dump in an
IFR flight, with the ironclad disclaimer from MS "No responsibility for
anything"... and you're on your own, Totter! At 7000 ft, over the
nicest layer of clouds... and it's 23:59 local time.

"Insert IFR CR #2 and click OK to continue"

:-)))

Piero


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